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The most likely outcome would be picking eighth (54.4%), followed by ninth (30%). If the regular season ended today, the Canucks would have a 6% chance at winning the first overall pick, and a 6.4% shot to get the second pick.

That means that only the lottery picks belonging to teams finishing between 22nd and 32nd place (ie - between last and 11th-last) will have a shot to get Bedard. While all 16 non-playoff teams will participate in the May 8 lottery, teams are now only allowed to move up a maximum of 10 spots.
The NHL’s draft lottery rules were altered last year, reducing the number of teams that were eligible to win the first overall pick. So no matter where you finish, provided you’re one of the bottom-11 teams in the standings, getting Connor Bedard is a long shot.īut if you finish 12th-last or higher, which the Canucks are now in danger of doing, it won’t be a long shot. The last-place team, currently the Columbus Blue Jackets, will receive only a 25.5% shot to win the first overall pick in the weighted lottery. The Canucks are charging up the standings.
